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Hes fresh off a spirited run of performances on the Asian Tour, including his first victory on the circuit two weeks ago. Hes followed by Scottie Scheffler at 9.09% and then Justin Thomas and Xander Schauffele at 5.58%. McClure uses his proprietary simulation model to analyze the field and crush his golf picks.. McClure's model predicted Jon Rahm would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. Hes also gone 10 straight events worldwide without finishing lower than T-8. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview, Odds, Picks My DFS style is very ownership-centric, and more often than not, this can make you feel like an unsuccessful DFS player, but every now and then when a sneaky, low-owned golfer comes through for you, it is all worth it. your golf bets? One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at +125 odds (risk $100 to win. McDonald nailed the Farmers Insurance Open, backing Homa (25-1) as his top choice. WM Phoenix Open Betting Card & Other Predictions Patrick Cantlay Outright Win +2000 But McDonald knows "inefficiencies in the other aspects of his game" will be tough to overcome at Bay Hill. Whether youre seeking Honda Classic odds in February, Travelers Championship betting in June, or 3M Open odds in July, you can find everything at the sportsbook. Shane Lowryis the first Irishman we look to roster heavily as he has a fantastic around-the-green game and is comfortable in the wind. Going into Round 3, these are the color codes we will be using to identify who we want to target. I like a gritty player with a strong short game to win this week, so Patrick Reed immediately grabs my attention. You can view live odds from the first round through the final round. The American Express Sleepers Tom Hoge +4000 Odds to Win Hoge is one of the most underrated players on the PGA Tour. Sleeper pick: Max Homa, +17,500. The entire $6krange in the screenshot above will be going off in the morning after some mediocre golf so far. After most of the top players did not play in last weeks. In his second start of 2022, he prevailed at the SMBC Singapore Open and finished second on the Asian Tours OOM (behind Joohyung (Tom). Anyone who follows McDonald's advice has been cashing in. He also leads in par-5 scoring, par breakers and scrambling. Leverage: A less popular player who played poorly yesterday. Now just three months from his 32nd birthday, the native of Seoul, South Korea, is making his PGA Championship debut as the fifth-best golfer from his homeland (at 115th in the Official World Golf Ranking). For more on Chirp, click here. 1 ranking for a while, and he has fixed his weaknesses. It includes pre-event rankings, round-specific scoring averages, birdie percentages, weighted approach ratings, and ownership projections for tomorrow's showdown slate. There really is just no winning with Rahm it seems. Rewards issued as non-withdrawable bonus bets. PGA TOUR, PGA TOUR Champions, and the Swinging Golfer design are registered trademarks. But he still might be the best player in the game. Lee, +22,500. The Englishman does his best work from tee to green and he scores well on the par 4s, crucial with a dozen dotting PGA National. The 2019 Open Champion has proven he can compete in windy conditions. He hit another 25-1 shot at the Houston Open, taking Tony Finau to win. The tournament was already the most electric on the PGA Tour, and that bar will be raised even higher this week with more fans in attendance and it being a designated event. Lee +19000J.J. Since 2020, he has 17 top-10 finishes, and 12 of them would be on difficult courses. At 7,466 yards, its a longer course by PGA Tour standards, but a variety of players have been able to win in the past. When it came to selecting players to win outright, I weighed having a top-15 finish in a prior edition of the event over my Fantasy National model. FanDuel PGA DFS Lineup Picks: 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational To-win: Daniel Berger, +3,000. Its also worth noting the Bermuda greens, as some players putt better on them than others. PGA TOUR Golf Sleepers: 4 Potential Genesis Invitational Longshot Picks. Jon Rahm is predicted to win Genesis Invitational with an 11.76% implied probability, according to betting markets. One of these golfers "has been experiencing a massive resurgence," the expert says, and this course is right up his alley. The $20 million purse has brought out the best, with major champions like Collin Morikawa, Justin Thomas, Jordan Spieth and Matt Fitzpatrick among the many stars. He's not only playing better golf than he had at earlier points in his life, but he's also shown an ability to turn leaderboard contention into wins at a high rate. Sleeper pick: Joel Dahmen, +35,000. 1-ranked player in the world has now won twice in his last three events worldwide. He also has published a golf book, The Ultimate Book of Golf Trivia: 600 Questions and Answers.. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook's lines around the St. Francis vs. Fairleigh Dickinson odds, and make our. 1-800-547-6133 (WA). He popped for a solo third in Mississippi in the fall and has added a pair of top 20s in the last four weeks. To-win: Patrick Reed, +3,500. One hole has him in T41 vs T13 had he made par there. Lastly, course history plays more of a factor than in most weeks. McDonald has locked in his best bets for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational and has tabbed several longshots, including two who come in well over 80-1. PGA Championship expert picks to win, sleepers to watch at Kiawah Island By: Nick Piastowski May 18, 2021 Collin Morikawa holds the Wanamaker Trophy after winning last year's PGA. 2-ranked player in the world didnt finish inside the top 8. That was the first event worldwide since last summer in which the No. Where: Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge, Orlando, Florida. 2023 WM Phoenix Open picks, predictions, field, odds: PGA expert fading It's a smaller PGA Tour field this week, but it's a much larger purse and the field is stacked with stars for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. Harry Higgs Staying in the lane of the free spirits, this 31-year-old has made an adjustment in his perspective that has yielded five paydays in his last six starts, two of which going for a top 25. Please Gamble Responsibly. Hes the tournaments all-time earnings leader, which includes a victory (2020), a T-4 (2022) and a T-7 (2019) in the last four editions. In this article, we are going to break down the previous round's top performers and duds and use that information to derive a player pool full of upside and leverage. BMW Championship picks 2022: The longshot our experts love at FedEx St. Jude Championship picks 2022: Sleepers/Dark Horses we like Caddie: Scott Stallings (130-1, DraftKings) Scott might be the hottest golfer not named Rory without a win right now. See the full Puerto Rico Open 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here.. Nate Lashley 16-1 Ben Martin 20-1 Brandon Harkins 22-1 As for props, McIlroy has been on fire of late, and Harman came out 14th in my model, providing solid value. Play with trusted, licensed operators. Rai presents a similar profile in his return trip after a. Scott has had a ton of success at Riviera. Hes also 6-for-8 on the PGA TOUR, including a 3-for-4 in the majors. All three of these golfers provide the upside that can be found in the $10k range, at a price and ownership discount (excluding Cantlay's ownership). Jon Rahm (+650) has the best golf odds to win. Its Horsfields third DP WORLD Tour victory but first of the last 21 months after he picked off a pair on what was the UK Swing immediately after the circuits shutdown in response to the pandemic. Please Gamble Responsibly. However, it should provide you with a guide to who will be the most owned and how those around them shake out. This will be Woods first official PGA Tour event since the 2022 Open Championship. He also has eight straight top-10 finishes in events worldwide. The Korn Ferry trademark is also a registered trademark, and is . The 26-year-old from England took the title at the Soudal Open in Belgium on Sunday. Youre familiar with his fellow countrymen, Jazz Janewattananond and PGA TOUR member Kiradech Aphibarnrat, but this 23-year-old currently is Thailands top talent at 118th in the Official World Golf Ranking. His game is trending in the right direction, and Im expecting a good week for the Northern Irishman. Chalk: a) A popular player who played okay yesterday, b) A less popular player who played well yesterday. Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 props, odds, field: Expert head-to-head Visit the sportsbook today for weekly PGA odds! And so was Jessica Marksbury. You can too! He also has published a golf book, The Ultimate Book of Golf Trivia: 600 Questions and Answers.. If the wind picks up, the scores wont be as good. Copyright 2023 PGA TOUR, Inc. All rights reserved. The result marks Kirk's. Expect him to do so tomorrow. Probably not! About; Careers . PGA DFS Picks - Expert Survey: Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by On the other hand, Rahm hasn't shown many flaws on his stunning run of 10 straight top-10 finishes. Round 2 PGA DFS Showdown Slate Picks - 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Think of it as a traffic light with four colors. McIlroy Says No-Cut PGA Events Are Nothing New as LIV Golfers Respond https://t.co/tHKZVsPbbt. A T21 at home followed two weeks later. Previously, he was a New England Patriots beat writer for WEEI in Boston. He just closed out his second season of the last five as the runner-up on its Order of Merit. Below are some players to target when golf betting, followed by my betting card for the week. The last time we entered a seaside major championship where everything hinged on a stiff breeze, Gary Woodland won by three strokes. Kevin Erickson March 4, 2023 8:42 am ET In a lightweight bout on the main card, Mateusz Gamrot takes on Jalin Turner Saturday at UFC 285 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. And with live golf betting, the action doesnt stop at the book when the action starts on the course. One of McClure's top one and done picks this week for the Honda Classic is 24-year-old Sungjae Im. WM Phoenix Open Betting Card & Other Predictions, Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023: Winners Payout & Prize Money Earnings, Arnold Palmer Invitational First & Second Round Tee Times. AZ, CO, DC, IA, IL, IN, KS, LA, MD, MI, MS, NJ, NV, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, WA, WV, or WY. Kickoff is Saturday at 7 p.m. You can find me on Twitter an unhealthy amount of the time @TheModelManiac, if you have any questions, compliments, or insults for me. Finau is also playing outstanding golf of late. Check out the odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Patrick McDonald's top prop picks for Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023, all from the expert who is up more than $2,000 on his PGA Tour picks this season. Last week's PGA TOUR golf sleepers article successfully identified James Hahn as a high . (But maybe sprinkle in a top 10 bet just to make sure. All promotions are subject to eligibility requirements. One and Done Selections - The Arnold Palmer Invitational 2. Horschel is one of the streakiest players on the PGA Tour, as when he's on top of his game, he can compete with anyone. Sleeper pick: K.H. Arnold Palmer Invitational Sleepers Keegan Bradley +6000 Odds to Win Bradley has enjoyed plenty of past success at this event, including finishing inside the top 11 each of the past two years. 2023 WM Phoenix Open picks, predictions, field, odds: PGA expert fading Justin Thomas at TPC Scottsdale SportsLine expert Patrick McDonald analyzed the WM Phoenix Open 2023 field and made. So there's precedent there for no-cut events. When youre talented, youre talented. Collin Morikawa wasnt the only winner at last years PGA Championship. A little hard to believe, but a golfer who is in the top five in the world rankings has yet to play in an Open Championship. All promotions are subject to eligibility requirements. Promotional offers not available in Nevada and New York. Power limped into the clubhouse but has shown he can get hot at any given moment. This article is going to take a look at showdown slates after each completed round. Not only is the Genesis Invitational played at Riviera Country Club, one of the most elite courses in the country, but its a designated event, so all the top players on the PGA Tour are in the field, including tournament host Tiger Woods. Stop at mega chalk and go when we see leverage that makes sense. GOLF.com and GOLF Magazine are published by EB GOLF MEDIA LLC, a division of 8AM GOLF. follow. Rai presents a similar profile in his return trip after a T66 well back of Strakas championship pace. To-win: Daniel Berger, +3,000. The West Coast Swing on the PGA Tour will conclude this week, and it may have saved the best for last. Expert picks to win and sleepers to watch for the Open Championship . British Open expert picks to win, sleepers to watch at St. Andrews - Golf 1. Set a budget. Keep it social. At just 23 years young, hes taken more punches than hes given, but hes made some noise early in what is his second full season on the PGA TOUR. Sleeper pick: Shane Lowry, +10,000. Sleeper pick: Lee Westwood, +11,000. I still feel that were bound to get a run in DJs career where he rolls off a few major victories. As a result, players will not hit as many fairways as they are used to this week, which will place an emphasis on scrambling and avoiding bogeys. The only issue with him this week is a lack of experience at TPC Scottsdale. Whether youre a new bettor browsing futures odds for The Masters, a casual fan betting on Rory McIlroy to finish in the top five, a longtime diehard breaking down weather trends in Hawaii, theres something for everyone. Zalatoris figures to be one of the more popular plays this week, given his success on difficult courses. That generated momentum onto the Asian Tour where he picked off a T2 and a T5 before New Years. at Kiawah in 2012. Not only is the Genesis Invitational played at Riviera Country Club, one of the most elite courses in the country, but its a, , so all the top players on the PGA Tour are in the field, including tournament host, The event will have a major championship-like feel because of the. Since 2020, hes 3-for-3 with two top 15s and a scoring average of exactly 70. Scottie Scheffler has the next best odds to win with a 10% implied probability. His. Editor's Note: In addition to PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf, fans can also participate in the PGA Championship's fantasy game this week and win merchandise from Southern Hills. The 33-year-old won two weeks ago at the Dubai Desert Classic, and the No. Tony FinauandWill Zalatorisboth sit a little further down the leaderboard, particularly Will, but both have sensational R3 scoring averages very close to Scottie's, which we are hoping to capitalize on tomorrow. Five of those were victories, including his last outing at the Genesis Invitational. ). This is way down the odds board, but Bezuidenhout has thrived on Bermuda greens and has finished in the top 20 at this event each of the last three years. ). ET at Cashman Field (FX). He has yet to really unleash his true potential this event. UFC 285: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Jalin Turner odds, picks and predictions For live odds, visit BetMGM. Sure. Below are some players to target when golf betting, followed by my betting card for the week. Bergers best golf has come in the past 12 months. The career renaissance is capped by his first major win. This years PGA Championship tees off Thursday at Kiawah Island. All promotions are subject to eligibility requirements. A wide variety of players have won this event in the past. Performance always is relative, but no one has a better scoring average on the JGTO. , followed by my betting card for the week. Expert Picks A Change Text Size Written by Staff @PGATOUR How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. Its time for the Class of 2011 to bag another one. Rewards issued as non-withdrawable bonus bets. Every week, we share our. First-bet offers not valid in Ohio. Bottom line: This is a week where the best players rise to the top, and it may be wise to avoid the long shots. Despite its spot on the schedule, the Charles Schwab Challenge is boasting a solid field just a few days after the conclusion of the 104th PGA Championship. One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at +125 odds (risk $100 to win. There are three players in the top 20 of the Official World Golf Rankings - No. The 29-year-old has finished in the top 20 in all five appearances at this event, including third last year and second in 2021. He has two top-16 finishes in three events this season. As a result, players are just as likely to make birdie as they are bogey. He ranks first in strokes gained around the green, and McDonald knows that is a huge benefit. Mid-Priced FanDuel DFS Plays 4. Hes been no worse than T13 in his past four major starts. As of Tuesday, its expected to be a windy tournament, especially on Friday, with gusts expected over 30 miles per hour. Give it to me! The affable personality is a short-lister for sponsor exemptions, when necessary, and theyll come in handy playing on conditional status, but the pressure is eased at 109th in the FedExCup. Going into Round 3 . When: March 2 to 5, 2023. Hes followed by Rory McIlroy at 9.09%. In this space last August, we picked Morikawa to hoist the Wanamaker Trophy, and, if you ask me, it was impressive as Morikawas drive-the-green tee shot on 16 at Harding Park. McIlroy has had a ton of success at this tournament. One of these golfers will score close to 40 points, giving our lineups a boost and freeing up salary to load up a few more reliable, higher-upside studs at the top of the slate. 2023 Puerto Rico Open odds, field. 3-ranked player in the world doesnt have a top-25 finish on the PGA Tour yet this calendar year. The most exciting hole at Riviera is the drivable par-4 10th hole at just over 300 yards. DFS pro with almost $2M in winnings gives Masters DFS advice for tournaments like the DraftKings Millionaire Maker Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook's lines around the Sea Dragons vs. Vipers odds, and make our expert XFL picks, predictions and bets.. Sometimes these guys need a little tweak in their routine to focus them in. These are the golfers I am gravitating towards, as they could very easily bounce the following day at half the ownership. , including world No. New Customer Offer (if applicable). One shocking pick from McDonald: He is fading Thomas in his first appearance at Bay Hill since 2015. Although hes still on the rise globally, hes no stranger to the brightest lights having made five starts in majors previously. First-bet offers not valid in Ohio. 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Below are some players to target when golf betting, followed by my betting card for the week. The Phoenix region will be the center of the sports world this week, with the Super Bowl at. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! That said, +5,000 odds for a player six months removed from contending for a PGA three-peat? Shoutout to the entire @RotoBallerPGA squad and all you guys that support my work for all the pic.twitter.com/07a4ynvbSU, Congrats @tenndolly2 ?? Don't have an account? 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Bio Kim(+400 for a Top 40) If the name rings a bell, its probably because youve been an avid PGA TOUR fan long enough to remember when he was the youngest member at the age of 20 in 2011. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. Will Gordonsits in a similar situation in T53 and is also an explosive golfer who has flashed round-of-the-day potential in less stacked fields before. Cantlay checks a lot of boxes this week, including losing in a playoff at the event last year to Scottie Scheffler. Rai presents a similar profile in his return trip after a T66 well back of Strakas championship pace. Spaun +19000Harris English +19000Byeong Hun An +20000Justin Suh +21000Patrick Rodgers +21000Taylor Pendrith +21000Joel Dahmen +21000Sam Ryder +21000Taylor Moore +22000Emiliano Grillo +22000Kurt Kitayama +22000Joseph Bramlett +23000Danny Willett +23000Ben Griffin +24000Garrick Higgo +24000Francesco Molinari +25000. McIlroy is coming off a disappointing T-32 finish at the. We, along with members of our staff, have each made a to-win and sleeper bet using odds from DraftKings to help you with your own weekly picks, whether those are for a low-stakes office fantasy league, (legal!) Hes also 4-for-5 in 2023 with a T29 last week at Riviera where he flashed his game in a microcosm. For a player of his caliber, +8000 is tremendous value. See McDonald's picks, best bets and predictions here. Since Flag Hunting formed at the start of the 2021-22 season, I've cashed a total of 14 outright tickets in 58 events (a nearly 25% hit rate) and profited nearly $12,000 from betting just $350 . The five-time winner on the Japan Golf Tour is comin in hot. Jason Day is playing much better golf lately and now that he has made the cut maybe he can play a little more freely and start rolling in the putts we have seen him make over the last few weeks. They're a must-see for any PGA DFS player. Mike McClure has locked in his sleepers and PGA one and done golf picks this week for The Honda Classic 2023 By CBS Sports Staff Feb 22, 2023 at 1:09 pm ET 3 min read USATSI With the. Now, McDonald has studied the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational field and has locked in his best bets, top sleepers and favorites to avoid. Below are the power rankings of the golfers who we have our eye on for Round 3. Fantasy Golf Picks 2022 Farmers Insurance Open Picks, Predictions, Rankings and Sleepers Pat Mayo breaks down the 2022 Farmers Insurance Open, making his picks and rankings for the event while previewing the course and key stats. He finished T-10 last week at the WM Phoenix Open and T-8 at this event in 2021. The top players in my Fantasy National didnt provide much value and/or havent had the best of success at this event. Excludes Michigan Disassociated Persons. The Englishman does his best work from tee to green and he scores well on the par 4s, crucial with a dozen dotting PGA National. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. It's expected to be another tough test after Scheffler won last year by one stroke at 5-under par. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: golf | pageType: stories | Hes also 6-for-8 on the PGA TOUR, including a 3-for-4 in the majors. So, yeah, that counts, but Higgo stays entirely on that side of the ball. Pivots: a) A popular player who played poorly yesterday, b) A less popular player who played okay yesterday. Is Brooks Koepka fully healthy? Caddies dont matter a ton, except when they do. Zach Johnson None of the 46-year-olds 12 PGA TOUR victories were in Florida, and hes done more damage on other sites in the state than PGA National, but he still deserves attention as a potential threat in matchup scenarios. Jon Rahmhad a bit of a meltdown today on his second nine, but we can expect the Spaniard to return to the form he has displayed so consistently throughout the season. Hes a perfect sleeper this week! Jon Rahm is predicted to win the Arnold Palmer Invitational with a 13.33% implied probability i.e., the overall chance of a potential outcome in relation to the odds according to betting markets. As for Spieth (43) and Zalatoris (30), they dont rank highly in my model, but +4000 at a major-like event is probably the best value Ill get on either player for the rest of the year. OK, lets continue. an app from our parent company that is available in the App Store and at Google Play, 7 things you MUST know to make money on golf betting, Four experts on how to bet on PGA Tour golf like a professional gambler. Odds were sourced on Tuesday, May 17, 2022. First-bet offers not valid in Ohio. The new father secured his first win since November of 2019 at the Wells Fargo Championship last weekend, and he won the PGA Championship by eight (!) Winners have primarily come from the second tier in the odds board. McIlroy said: "If you think of like the four WGC's, you've got the three playoffs events, you've got the CJ Cup, the Zozo. He's made nine of 10 cuts at this tournament, including two top 10s. Bonus bets expire 7 days from issuance. Scottie Schefflermade a massive move up the leaderboard last year on Saturday and that is validated by the incredible round 3 scoring average which is the 2nd best on the slate. The message was that he's balanced and playing well upon arrival. Latest Golf News - PGA TOUR Previously, he was a New England Patriots beat writer for WEEI in Boston. The afternoon played about half a shot more difficult despite experiencing "significantly more wind" than the AM wave. GOLF.COM may earn a fee. U.S. Open expert picks to win, sleepers to watch at Brookline - Golf