Then, two players were listed as being the most overrated compared to their draft projection. The Commanders made it a priority of theirs to bring back J.D. David Montgomery, Chicago | Consensus Rankings RB18 | Consensus Projections RB18. Davis has changed teams five times in the last three seasons. Sigmund Bloom: Barkley may not be 100% to start the season, and he might not truly be 100% until next season. This year, his new head coach -- Josh McDaniels -- is an offensive mind who made his career in schemes that utilized multiple backs as specialists for each situation. If you're optimistic about the Lions running game, take Williams at a deep discount from Swift's highly aspirational price tag. With the second-year back getting selected in the early second round of most drafts, fantasy managers must be expecting that trend to continue in 2021. At cost, D'Andre Swift and others are better combinations of floor and ceiling. Jim Brown Jim Brown spent a little less than a decade playing for the Cleveland Browns between 1957 and 1965, but that was enough time to prove he's likely the greatest running back to ever play the game and one of the greatest NFL players of all time. Here are the players who received the most votes: And here are all of the payers mentioned and the reasons why. Think about that for a moment. This was largely in line with his previous year's 10.7 per game which allowed him to plod his way to an uninspiring RB24 finish. That is still great, but not quite as good as many people have him ranked. Andy Hicks: Austin Ekeler isnt going to rush anyone to a fantasy title. Gibson has also been struggling with fumbles in training camp, which have drawn the ire of the Commanders coaching staff. And just how many touchdowns should we expect from an offense with glaring question marks at quarterback and the worst wide receiver depth chart this side of Detroit? Jason Garrett was one of the most uninspiring play-callers in the league last year. Najee Harris, Pittsburgh | Consensus Rankings RB15 | Consensus Projections RB13. The final reason why Jerome Bettis is the most overrated RB of all time is because of the offensive line he ran behind. Barkley could hit on pure talent and above-average recuperative ability, but everything else is going against him to return value on his lofty ADP. When we go into advanced stats, we can tell even more about Bettis: * Note: The stats are Bettis averages per season, not total career. Top 10 Most Overrated NFL Players of All Time. Notre Dame's Kyren Williams was one of them and Georgia's James Cook was the other player named. Drafting running backs on the downside of their career, on bad offenses, in a platoon situation, is fraught with peril. WHO ARE THE MOST OVERRATED FANTASY FOOTBALL RUNNING BACKS? His production waned down the stretch in Carolina last year, and when was the last time we cared about an Atlanta running back in fantasy football anyway? Marshall Faulk 7. Victoria Geary: We should not steer clear of Harris completely for the 2021 season, but we should lower our expectations for a locked-and-loaded RB1 finish. This slideshow lists the most underrated and overrated quarterbacks, running backs and receivers in the NFL, and the choices might shock you. The Ravens view Gus Edwards and Dobbins as co-starters who are both vital cogs, and the front office rewarded Edwards with a new contract supporting his role. Thurman Thomas 14. If Gordon's injury is extended, Williams could be appropriately priced, but until there is more information, he is an avoid at cost. And in fact, some managers are drafting him to be in their fantasy starting lineups in Week 1. Not to mention I expect this offense to throw the ball a lot more than last year due to the addition of Russell Wilson and new Head Coach Nathaniel Hackett. But you do have to attribute some of his success to his top 10 run blocking. His retirement all but guarantees some drop-off in Kamara's receiving numbers regardless of whether Jameis Winston or Taysom Hill is named the Saints starting quarterback. Single After the Robinson selection, head coach Ron Rivera likened the potential Antonio Gibson and Brian Robinson Jr combination to the Jonathan Stewart and D'Angelo Williams pairing he used during his Carolina days. Jason Wood: Sometimes fate aligns, and that's what happened for Mike Davis last year in Carolina. For example, take Imagine Dragons and Maroon 5, both very accomplished. But Gordon averaged more yards per carry last year than Williams. There isnt much to like here. Most overrated players in Madden 21 J.J. Watt, defensive end, Houston Texans. If you look at Bettis total career marks, you will see that he is 5th on the all time rushing yards list and 10th in TDs. Here are some stats from footballoutsiders.com: * Note: ADY =. Here is the player who received the most votes: And here are all of the payers mentioned and the reasons why. Andrew Davenport: Montgomery was the 26th-ranked PPR running back in points per game at 12.2 a contest through nine games last year. More of the stats of an average RB, which Laurence Maroney and Rashard Mendenhall are. Marcus Allen 15. Links to similar discussions on other positions: 12 Quarterbacks11 Tight Ends28 Wide Receivers25 Running Backs, 10 Quarterbacks12 Tight Ends23 Wide Receivers25 Running Backs, 9 Quarterbacks11 Tight Ends15 Wide Receivers13 Running Backs. The 2021 season will either change from the norm of what we have seen from Edmonds in the past or a new role where he flourishes with an increase in volume. Dave Kluge: The 49ers drafted Trey Sermon and Elijah Mitchell and signed free agent Wayne Gallman. Leonard Fournette, Tampa Bay | Consensus Rankings RB30 | Consensus Projections RB27. That has shown to be largely untrue so far in camp as Williams and Gordon have been splitting first-team reps nearly 50-50 until Gordon has missed time with a foot injury. Tevin Coleman is one of those veteran thorns in the sides of young backs to garner touches. If Robinson claims goal line work, there is an upward battle for returning a value in his ADP. These players will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. Awesemo fantasy expert Nick Lepri gives you the three MOST OVERRATED RBs, breaks down his running .. It probably comes off as harsh to call Montgomery one of the most overrated running backs of the past decade, but he is. The role we envisioned for Johnson is already in question. Top 10 Most Overrated Athletes of All Time It's not that they aren't great players, they just aren't everything we've been led to believe. Sigmund Bloom: Swift is surely more likely than Jamaal Williams to be the hot hand in the Detroit backfield, but Swift's ADP is too high for any back that has to rely on the hot hand approach to get the majority of the volume in the backfield. Overall: 98 and 96. On top of these issues, the Texans added Rex Burkhead, Mark Ingram II, and Philip Lindsay to compete for touches. Simpson 13. He has had 9,088 receiving+rushing yards over his career. But the Broncos re-signed Melvin Gordon III, which cannot be interpreted as anything short of a re-commitment to a 50/50 committee. Hes the favorite for running back targets, but the offense doesnt really throw to the running backs. 21 RB Sleepers. In addition, teammate Gus Edwards just signed a two-year, $10M contract extension in June, so he isnt going anywhere any time soon. I'm out. He finally received the workhorse role fantasy players have craved. It's possible that Las Vegas will lean on Jacobs, knowing he won't be back next year, but that goes against McDaniels' past style of play. He's not a player to build your team around if you pick in the top half of the first round. Here are some stats from footballoutsiders.com: * Note: ADY = adjusted line yards, PSR = power success rank, SR = stuff ranking Average ADY: 4.29 Average PSR: 11th Average SR: 9th * These stats werent kept until 1996, so this doesnt include Bettis first 3 years in the NFL. most overrated running backs of all time. Anthony Amico: Dobbins is being drafted as if he has a far greater stranglehold on this Ravens backfield than he likely will. The Giants offensive line, playcalling, and quarterback play give us no faith that they can help create fantasy overachievers. Only he and Jim brown had a full career average of 5.0 ypc lifetime. The current regime did not select Robinson. most overrated running backs of all time. Jordan McNamara: The news on Saquon Barkley does not reassure me. His value is trending in the wrong direction. Search my work, about me, and maybe -if I ever get around to it - my blog. Murray scored 11 rushing touchdowns in 9 different games in 2020. LaDainian Tomlinson 6. Even if the split is swapped with Williams as the slight 1A to Gordon's now 1B, achieving a top-12 result will hinge on Gordon missing a chunk of the season. Chad Parsons: McKissic is priced reasonably with an implied drop in targets. Gibson plays on a bad offense, has rushing competition from Robinson, and receiving competition from McKissic. Nobody should ever try to run like Barry Sanders, because they will never be Barry Sanders. Has no highlight reel. Chad Parsons: Cohen is coming off an injury, and Damien Williams is a notable veteran addition to the depth chart. 25 Running Backs Overrated Players 10 Quarterbacks 12 Tight Ends 23 Wide Receivers 25 Running Backs Deep Sleepers 9 Quarterbacks 11 Tight Ends 15 Wide Receivers 13 Running Backs The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. That makes me want to be high on Josh Jacobs, but unfortunately, all reports point to a backfield by committee. Footballguys staff members discuss running backs who are overvalued. Phil Alexander: Drew Brees is arguably the best screen game quarterback in NFL history. "The Philadelphia Story," on the other hand, was a comedy, a genre not often seen as Best Picture worthy. Sigmund Bloom: Brian Robinson Jr had an excellent preseason debut, while Antonio Gibson fumbled *again*, so this is trending in the wrong direction for Gibson's 2022 redraft value. Now we can extinguish any hopes of Jacobs getting more involved in the passing game. Tatum Bell isn't the only Lions running back of the 2000s to get snakebitten. Also, Jalen Hurts is poised to siphon a few short-range scores from the running back position. Optimizer Quick Start, Percent Rostered Mckissic, and there was talk of rookie Brian Robinson Jr taking on the short yardage work. He has lapses in vision and decision-making. Gibsons problems with fumbles have been a complaint of Ron Rivera, and he has already shown it is not gone in the preseason. It's not entirely his fault. Mostert is now 29 years old and has the highest draft position of anyone in this stable of capable running backs. Phil Alexander: Hunt finished last season as the RB10 in PPR scoring, but his cumulative stats were buoyed by a four-game stint as Cleveland's starter when Nick Chubb was out with an MCL sprain. The 39 Most Overrated Bands Of All-Time While they might have some catchy tunes, some bands are really overrated. Chad Parsons: As much as Taylor is an overt talent and a potentially elite RB1 in a best-case scenario. Yet, Travis Etienne was drafted in the first round, and Carlos Hyde, who Urban Meyer coached at Ohio State, was signed. Gordon isn't going away just because fantasy managers want him to. Brown never stopped earning playing time for the Rams despite the team investing early draft capital at the position. Its a knock on his offensive line. The first thing that pops out at us is that Jerome Bettis 3.9 YPC is a good deal lower than the offensive lines mark of 4.29 (ADY). The Raiders declined to exercise Jacobs fifth-year option this offseason, drafted Zamir White in the fourth round, signed Ameer Abdullah and Brandon Bolden, and Kenyan Drake returns from injury. The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. He showed elite promise in his rookie year and followed it up with a top 10 season despite a high ankle sprain limiting his ascension. 15 Best Running Backs of All-Time; The Raiders have a lot of diverse depth with several different pass catchers, speed backs, and bruisers at the running back position for Jacobs to be drafted at his current ADP. Even the best backs need help, and Harris is less likely to have consistent holes to run through than any of the backs going around him. Drafting Jacobs around this price is drafting him at his ceiling -- perhaps even above it. 2 fantasy back this year is a dubious decision. Cohen is not even a projected injury-away auto-start fantasy option heading into training camp. D'Andre Swift, Detroit | Consensus Rankings RB12 | Consensus Projections RB14. Raheem Mostert, San Francisco | Consensus Rankings RB31 | Consensus Projections RB35. Anthony Amico: The new regime for the Raiders is not particularly reassuring of Jacobs' role with the team. Expect some early-season force-feeding of Etienne until there's a realization that the usage is predictable and inefficient. History has shown us that Harris's ADP will likely move into Round 2 or 3 as the next few months pass. James Robinson, Jacksonville | Consensus Rankings RB29 | Consensus Projections RB30. Overrated Sleepers Running Backs Values Overrated Sleepers The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. These players will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another important key to a successful fantasy team. That number of targets limited his ceiling, and he was barely a low-end RB2. This NFL season, which isn't even over yet, 5 running backs have already rushed for more yards and 16 have more touchdowns. Before his 2020 campaign, McKissic had never rushed for more than 205 yards in a season. For both Cleveland backs to be values, the team would have to produce vintage New Orleans-level production for its backs, or one of them would have to get injured to allow the other to see an increased workload. With McKissic back taking over passing down duties and Brian Robinson Jr possibly taking over red zone opportunities, Gibson is being overvalued in fantasy drafts. 5. Combine a true committee situation with a quarterback who racks up 1,000 yards and a handful of scores, and you have a ceiling on Dobbins that won't be unlocked without a rash of injuries. Projections, Get The Most Out Of Your Wait until next year. And free-agent acquisitions Mark Ingram II and Rex Burkhead didnt even play. Gibson was even in the game after Robinson was out. There is no other way to explain a mid-range RB3 price when he is in one of the worst possible situations in Houston. I believe it is more accurate to measure a RB by per season averages, because running backs such as Jim Brown did not play long. Over the past decade, the NFL has really evolved into a passing league. Fred Taylor Malcolm Brown is one of the least-sexy names in fantasy football, but NFL teams sure seem to love him. With an almost entirely new coaching staff, quarterback and receivers, it is difficult to trust that Swift will be worth his asking price. Vegas used other backs last year and pigeonholed Jacobs as a two-down grinder. Williams can still be a great producer, but at his ADP, I won't be drafting him when he isn't getting the bulk of the touches. That's right, Fournette was cut by the Jaguars, and I think the same could happen with Gordon entering this season. Gibson fumbled in the preseason opener, and ball security has been an issue as he coughed up the football four times last year. In five games without Mark Ingram II in 2020, Dobbins only out-carried Gus Edwards 13 to 11.6. Projections, Get The Most Out Of Your Swift relied heavily on touchdown production for his fantasy numbers. This should be a fair competition, considering that Miami is changing its scheme this year. Adrian Peterson 10. Jalen Hurts will inevitably take away carries and goal-line rushes from the backfield, capping any true remaining upside Sanders may have been clinging to. Jacobs could easily wind up as a player who does a lot of work between the 20s with no meaningful fantasy production. Swift also picked up bad footwork habits working alongside a different style of back in Adrian Peterson last year, opting for inefficient jump cuts that hurt his game. The addition of James Conner, plus the knowledge that Kyler Murray could steal goal-line carries, also adds a bit of skepticism. Phil Alexander: Michael Thomas' ankle injury opens up additional targets for Kamara, who will operate as New Orleans' de facto No. The new coaching staff is inexperienced (second-youngest in the NFL), the system is unproven, the quarterback will gobble up a ton of rushing yards and touchdowns, and the front office has added running back depth aggressively in the offseason. Even when Barkley was a big fantasy hit, it took big plays that can be very mercurial from year to year to make it happen. In college, he played wide receiver as much as (if not more than) running back. Myles Gaskin, Miami | Consensus Rankings RB24 | Consensus Projections RB22. The Steelers were 23rd in red zone attempts per game in 2020 and were ranked as having the fourth-worst offensive line ahead of the 2021 season by Pro Football Focus. There's zero appeal here. At others, he made mistakes and was underused. Yep. I am a heretic in that regard. The Five Most Overrated Fantasy Football Running Backs in 2019. Cam Akers, LA Rams | Consensus Rankings RB12 | Consensus Projections RB13. Sigmund Bloom: One year after the signing of Gordon indicated a lack of faith in Phillip Lindsay -- that bore out with Lindsay being allowed to leave in free agency this offseason -- the Broncos moved up in the second round to take Javonte Williams, indicating a lack of faith in Gordon. As everyone knows by now, Montgomery faced some of the worst run defenses in the league over that finishing stretch to put up those huge numbers. That looks like a mistake from where the situation sits now. Melvin Gordon III, Denver | Consensus Rankings RB28 | Consensus Projections RB29. I understand the upside, but I don't want to take a huge miss if I'm drafting in Week 1. He's playing for his fifth team in seven seasons and has never been an instinctive runner. The Top Ten. Though volume is important in fantasy football, Harris will likely struggle behind his offensive line and may not garner an elite share of red zone touches. Taysom Hill had nine carries from inside the opponent's five-yard line to Kamara's 15 in 2021 and won't be removed from the Saints' red-zone plans any time soon. James Brimacombe: Once Kenyan Drake was out of the picture, we shot Edmonds up the draft board naturally. Brown should have a role, most likely on early downs and at the goal-line, which would sink Gaskins chances of living up to his ADP. Mike Davis, Atlanta | Consensus Rankings RB24 | Consensus Projections RB23. Ryan Hester: Gibson is a unique case in fantasy football. These are players that will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. Edmonds is a great player who offers a ton of talent on the field to help win games, but he will never be the high volume type of player that we are all desperately looking for each year. J.D. 1 Barry Sanders Barry Sanders is a former American football running back who spent his entire professional career with the Detroit Lions of the National Football League. Pat Fitzmaurice: The Buccaneers' playoff run was the best four-game stretch for Fournette since the early part of the 2019 season. Chad Parsons: It's a crowded Jets depth chart, and assuming Carter rises to the top of a collection of similar profiles is overstated with his draft valuation. Phil Alexander: What makes people so confident the Dolphins backfield is not a committee? Chad Parsons: Travis Etienne and Carlos Hyde were both chosen additions by the new Jaguars regime with either Round 1 pedigree (Etienne) or a productive NFL profile (Hyde). Green Bay seems to like A.J. Additionally, Brandon Bolden -- a member of Josh McDaniels' Patriot teams -- is with the club. Theyre going to be one of the worst teams in NFL History. That is not the stat line of an elite RB at all. Jeff Haseley: We know what Saquon Barkley is capable of, but we haven't seen him perform much in Jason Garrett's offense under Joe Judge's rule. When I was comparing Bettis stats to the the 3 RBs I mentioned above, I saw that Bettis was highly overrated. Lineup Builder Quick Start, Multi-Lineup Phil Alexander: Beware of drafting running backs based solely on their perceived opportunity. Back up Share project Close 2022 hyundai sonata limited interior; what is birkenstock oiled leather; bates high gloss duty oxford; most overrated running backs of all time. Malcolm Brown has also been an underrated commodity for some time now and gets a shot to compete with Gaskin for significant playing time. Although the rookie saw an uptick in usage throughout his first season, he managed to eclipse 66% of his teams snaps just once. As well as he played in the postseason, Fournette is still an inefficient committee back ticketed to share work with Ronald Jones II and Giovani Bernard. Color me skeptical Sanders has a new ceiling for receiving production with Scott and Gainwell passing game-centric options, and Howard could be a goal-line option. "Footballguys is the best premiumfantasy football Though volume is important in fantasy football, Harris could struggle behind his offensive line and not garner an elite share of red zone touches. Tony Dorsett 12. USA Today named the most overrated player on every NFL team in 2022 and for the Cleveland Browns, Jadeveon Clowney was given this unwanted distinction. The coaching staff did not ignore this, as they selected the best pass-catching running back in the fifth round of the NFL Draft in Kenneth Gainwell. Even if Winston wins the competition and keeps the New Orleans passing game afloat, Kamara will have a hard time repeating last year's 21 total touchdowns. Harris stayed an extra year in college to improve his draft capital, and rightfully so, as the 2020 class was filled with elite running back talent. Now, if the right-back fully lived up to his potential, then he could have been a Man City great. Henderson was arguably the best blocking fullback during the late 90s, paving the way for nine 1,000 yard rushers in his 12 years in Green Bay. Here's our list of the greatest 30 running backs in NFL history. Dillon is maturing as a receiver and might be used in that facet of the game despite his size profile suggesting hes a bruiser. Unless his ADP falls a bit, he's a pass where he's being drafted right now. Dave Kluge: To close out the 2020 season, Cam Akers saw 21, 29, 15, and 21 carries over his last four games. What follows are some of the most notable BackCAST projections for the running back prospects available in the 2022 NFL draft, along with two overrated back based on this model: ESPN + Jamaal Williams is a fine receiver, route runner, and red-zone back who will limit Swift's upside to a low-end fantasy RB2, at best. His career marks are high because he played long (13 yrs) and was consistent. Travis Etienne, Jacksonville | Consensus Rankings RB26 | Consensus Projections RB26. Never a good idea. McKissic, one the league's better pass-catching backs. In an attempt to point out these players, we asked our staff to look . That enthusiasm should be tempered because Canada was the offensive coordinator fired by LSU before LSU hired Joe Brady, who oversaw Joe Burrow's historic season. Backs who will receive bigger shares of their teams usage are going after Chubb. But even if he doesnt, this backfield could be a closer split than many think. Jamal Lewis 18. Jonathan Morris: Gibson was already someone I was worried about getting enough volume to be drafted at his current ADP. Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Kansas City | Consensus Rankings RB15 | Consensus Projections RB17. Bettis was also a nonfactor in the passing game. Andy Hicks: The Broncos dont seem overly excited to use Melvin Gordon III this year. Preseason may help a little. Whenever a new coaching group comes in, especially an inexperienced one, there is always the risk that players with a high fantasy price underachieve. But after he sat a game due to injury, the Bears' lead runner came out hot after their bye, and he finished at a torrid pace of 25.7 points per game as the overall RB1 from Weeks 12 to 17. Therefore, we asked our staff to look through the Top 150 and identify players that should underperform their draft position. . Drew Davenport: The memories of Johnson dominating in Arizona are still following him into this offseason. It seems the case that he is being drafted well above his upside. Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer (MGM) #26. 31 Unsung Running Backs in NFL History By Paul Ladewski on August 3, 2021 Chris O'Meara / AP Photo Before franchise quarterbacks took pro football hostage, there was something known as franchise running backs. Gordon caught only 32 passes last year, and outside of three games where he scored two touchdowns, he was a mediocre fantasy back. Optimizer Quick Start, Percent Rostered Kareem Hunt, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB22 | Consensus Projections RB24. McKissic. Again, these are not the stats of an elite RB. A new offensive coordinator in Pittsburgh also adds uncertainty to the situation. James Robinson, Jacksonville | Consensus Rankings RB28 | Consensus Projections RB29. These are players that will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. But he's 29, he's undersized, he had a hard time staying healthy last year, he adds little as a pass catcher, and the San Francisco backfield is awfully crowded now. And ultimately, he was targeted by Miami ahead of an early-round draft pick when he finally hit unrestricted free agency. Here are the players who received the most votes: And here are all of the players mentioned and the reasons why. This likely puts Gibson two injuries away from a full workload, and Robinson is capable of taking away money touches in the redzone as well. Harris stayed an extra year in college to improve his draft capital, and rightfully so, as the 2020 class was filled with elite running back talent. Chad Parsons: Malcolm Brown looks, at a minimum, like a strong 1B option but did get the start and most of the snaps with Tua Tagovailoa with the first team in the initial preseason game. Daniel Jones was one of the most uninspiring quarterbacks in the league last year. McKissic on your fantasy squad, but his outlier of a 2020 season is going to cause some to reach for him heading into 2021. Jason Wood: Sanders is talented, and when healthy, was productive under former head coach Doug Pederson. 2 fantasy back this year is a dubious decision. Downing, USA Today Sports. His week one status is in doubt, and there are reports he may not be ready for 12-15 touch workloads until October. 3 back on the depth chart before the first preseason game. Chad Parsons: Sanders stands out in the mid-teens of the running back draft pecking order most with his odds of being a high-impact option. The team likes fourth-round pick Zamir White and passing down back Ameer Abdullah, and Kenyan Drake is still on the roster, so Jacobs is going to have trouble being consistent enough to merit an every-week RB2 start. Chad Parsons: The price has vaulted up on Javonte Williams after a quality rookie season. At present, I'm avoiding Gaskin because I do not trust the role, especially ahead of projected starters like Mike Davis and other players with higher upside like Travis Etienne.